Politics odds, set by traders
Trade political outcomes on a prediction market. Elections, leadership contests and referendums are priced live on MagicMarkets — the price is the market's probability, and you can buy or sell either side of it.
Politics markets you can trade
| Market | What you are trading |
|---|---|
| Election winner | Any candidate or party, priced in cents |
| Party outcomes | Seat counts and majority lines where offered |
| Referendums | Yes/no outcomes, priced in cents |
Political markets are slow-burn positions punctuated by sharp repricing — polls, debates and results nights move prices in minutes, and positions can be traded out at any point before the official result.
See what the market is trading most right now on trending.
Politics trading FAQs
- What political events can I trade on MagicMarkets?
- Major elections, leadership contests and referendums are priced on MagicMarkets as markets are listed.
- Can I sell a political outcome on MagicMarkets?
- Yes. Every political outcome can be sold as well as bought, so you can take the position that it will not happen.
- How are political markets settled?
- Markets settle on the officially declared result, as stated in the market rules on each event page.